I-Fibonacci empeleni iyisihloko esihlukanisa abahwebi abanolwazi nalabo abasasebenza ngokungaboni. Leli thuluzi selikhona amashumi eminyaka, livela kuzo zonke izinkundla, kodwa abantu abaningi balisebenzisa kabi, bekhetha amaphuzu angahleliwe eshadini bese besola inkomba lapho intengo ingahloniphi amazinga adwetshiwe. Inkinga cishe ayikaze ibe yi-Fibonacci. Inkinga ukusetshenziswa kwayo.
Kungani iFibonacci isebenza ezimakethe zezimali?
Uchungechunge lwezibalo olwasungulwa nguLeonardo Pisano ngekhulu le-13 aluzange lwenzelwe imakethe yezezimali, kodwa lwathola indawo evundile lapho. Ingqondo ilula: Lapho abahwebi abaningi nezikhungo bebona amazinga afanayo eshadini, lawo mazinga aqala ukuba nesisindo sangempela. Imakethe ayihloniphi iFibonacci ngomlingo, kodwa ngoba abahlanganyeli ababalulekile benza izinqumo ngokusekelwe kulawo maphuzu.
Amazinga asetshenziswa kakhulu ekulandeleni kabusha angama-38,2%, 50%, kanye nama-61,8%, lokhu kokugcina kubizwa ngokuthi yi-Golden Ratio, okungenye yezinto ezibonakala kakhulu ekuhlaziyeni kobuchwepheshe. Kodwa-ke, okwenza lezi zinombolo zibe usizo akuzona izibalo ngokwazo, kodwa ukuhlangana kokunaka kwemakethe kuzo.
Indlela yokudweba kahle i-Fibonacci retracement ngendlela ekhangayo.
Ekunyuseni okuya phezulu, ukulandelela kwe-Fibonacci kudonswa kusukela phansi kuya phezulu, kusukela ekuqaleni komkhuba kuya esicongweni sawo. Imigqa ikhombisa amaphuzu ayinhloko lapho intengo ivame ukulungisa khona ngaphambi kokuqalisa kabusha ukunyakaza kwayo kwasekuqaleni.
Inqubo yesinyathelo ngesinyathelo ilula:
- Thola ukunyakaza okucacile okungasheshi (ukujika phansi kuya phezulu ekukhuphukeni).
- Lungisa iphuzu elingu-0% phansi kokunyakaza.
- Lungisa iphuzu elingu-100% phezulu kokunyakaza.
- Linda intengo ibuyele emuva bese ubheka ukuziphatha emazingeni adwetshiwe.
Iphutha elivame kakhulu lapha ukudweba ukulandelela kwe-Fibonacci ngesikhathi sokunyakaza noma ukulungiswa eceleni ngaphandle komfutho ochaziwe. Ithuluzi lilahlekelwa incazelo yalo ngaphandle komkhuba ohleliwe.
Yiziphi izindawo zokudonsa imali okufanele umhwebi aziqaphele?
Ukuncipha okuncane kwenzeka cishe ngo-23% futhi kuyashesha futhi kufushane, kudinga ukunakwa okuseduze. Ukuncipha okumaphakathi kufinyelela endaweni engu-38%, lapho ukwehla kwentengo kulahlekelwa khona amandla futhi kuvame ukubuyela ekunyakazeni kokuqala. Izindawo ezibizwa ngokuthi izindawo zegolide yizona ezikhuphuka kakhulu, ezifinyelela cishe ku-61,8%, inani eliqala umthetho wegolide wezibalo.
Empeleni, abahwebi abasebenza ngezikhathi ezimfushane bavame ukusebenza kakhulu ngamazinga angu-38,2% no-50%. Ukuhweba kwesikhathi eside kuvame ukunikeza isisindo esikhulu ezingeni lika-61,8%. Ayikho indawo ephakeme kakhulu emhlabeni wonke: umongo wempahla kanye nesikhathi kuchaza ukuthi yiliphi izinga elifaneleka kakhulu esimweni ngasinye.
Kungani abadayisi abaningi kangaka benza amaphutha lapho besebenzisa i-Fibonacci?
Amaphutha avame kakhulu ahlanganisa ukusebenzisa i-Fibonacci yodwa, ukungena ekuhwebeni kusenesikhathi kakhulu, kanye nokungazinaki izimo zemakethe iyonke. Ngaphezu kwalokho, kukhona enye inkinga ephindaphindayo: ukukhetha okuzimele kwamaphoyinti okubambelela.
Uma umhwebi ekhetha ukuphakama kwe-swing kanye nokwehla kwe-swing ngokusekelwe kulokho "okubonakala kulungile" ngokubona, ngaphandle kwezindlela zobuchwepheshe ezicacile, i-Fibonacci ilahlekelwa ubuqotho bayo. Okokuqala, kufanele kuchazwe umthetho ohambisanayo: sebenzisa njalo amakhandlela avaliwe, hlonipha njalo isikhathi sokubhekisela sokuhlaziywa, futhi ungalokothi ulungise amaphuzu ngemva kokubheka ukuthi intengo ime kuphi.
Elinye iphutha elivamile ukungazinaki izimpawu zokuqinisekisa. Amazinga e-Fibonacci awawona amaphuzu okubuyela emuva aqinisekisiwe, kodwa kunalokho izindawo zokunaka lapho umhwebi kufanele asebenzise amanye amathuluzi okuhlaziya ubuchwepheshe ukuqinisekisa ukubuyela emuva okungenzeka.
Indlela yokuhlanganisa i-Fibonacci nezinye izinkomba
Ukusebenzisa i-Fibonacci yodwa kuyiphutha lobuchwepheshe abadayisi abangathi sína abangalenzi. Ukuhlangana kwezinkomba eziningi, njengemigqa yethrendi, izilinganiso ezihambayo, kanye namazinga okusekela nokumelana, kanye namazinga okubuyela emuva kwe-Fibonacci kungandisa ukufaneleka nokufaneleka kwamazinga atholiwe.
Empeleni, lapho izinga elingu-61,8% lihambisana nesifunda sokusekela esingokomlando futhi intengo ifinyelela kulelo zinga ngokwehla kwevolumu, isimo siba sihlelekile kakhulu kunomugqa okhululekile eshadini. Kulokhu, i-Fibonacci isebenza njengomhleli wokufundwa, hhayi njengesignali ehlukanisiwe.
Amathuba okushintsha kwemakethe anda kakhulu lapho izinga lokubuyela emuva kwe-Fibonacci lihambisana nezinga lokusekela noma lokumelana elinqunyiwe.
Indlela yokusebenzisa i-Fibonacci ku-downtrend
Ekuhambeni okuya phansi, i-logic iyaguqulwa. Kodwa-ke, iphuzu elingu-0% liphezulu kokunyakaza kanti iphuzu elingu-100% liphansi. Ukubuyela emuva kubonisa izindawo zokumelana ngesikhathi sokwenyuka kwentengo ngaphakathi kokwehla kwentengo.
Kuma-downtrends, mane wenze okuphambene nenqubo esetshenziswa kuma-uptrends. Ukuqagela kwe-Fibonacci kungasetshenziswa futhi ukumaka imigomo yemakethe engaba khona ngaphakathi kwale thrend.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, iphutha elivamile kuma-downtrends ukujwayela ukudweba i-Fibonacci retracement kusukela phansi kuya phezulu, kuguqulwe ukuchazwa kwamazinga. Lokhu kudideka kuholela ekuchazeni okungalungile mayelana nokuthi intengo ingase ibhekane kuphi nokumelana ngesikhathi sokulungiswa.
Okufanele ukwenze uma intengo idlula wonke amazinga
Ukugcina i-Fibonacci retracement endala eshadini ngemva kokuphuma ngokuphelele akusizi ngalutho futhi kumane kudide incazelo.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, lapho intengo ihlola ngokuphindaphindiwe izinga elifanayo ngaphandle kokulidlula, le ndawo ithola ukubaluleka okwengeziwe. Iba semqoka nakakhulu uma kukhona ukuhlangana nokusekelwa kwangaphambilini noma isilinganiso sokuhamba esibhekiselayo.
Ekugcineni, Uma uthatha ukuhweba ngokungathi sína, udinga ipulatifomu efanelekile. Ebinex Inikeza amathuluzi okuhlaziya ezobuchwepheshe, amashadi angashintshiwe, kanye nokusebenza okusobala kulabo abahweba ngokuqonda.
Ingabe ukujabulele okuqukethwe? Yabelana ngakho nabanye abadayisi bese ulandela izindatshana ezengeziwe ku-[igama lenkundla yezokuxhumana]. i-blog.ebinex.com
